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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Indecisive below 50-DMA within a rising channel

  • AUD/USD remains flatlined below 50-DMA despite an upbeat mood.
  • Markets switch to wait-and-see mode amid thin trading conditions.
  • The path of least resistance appears down for the aussie traders.

AUD/USD is fluctuating between gains and losses, as traders are unable to decide on a clear direction amid a pullback in the S&P 500 futures from record highs.

On the other side, easing Omicron covid variant fears keep the buoyant tone intact around the aussie.

With holiday-thinned market conditions, however, traders are likely to remain cautious before placing any directional bets on the major.

Looking at AUD/USD’s daily chart, the pair is on a gradual uptrend after bottoming out earlier this month at 0.6993.

In doing so, the aussie has formed a rising channel pattern, with Monday’s rally curtailed by 0.7285, where the channel resistance converged with the 50 and 100-Daily Moving Averages (DMA).

At the time of writing, AUD/USD is trading flat at 0.7235, with the immediate upside seen capped by the mildly bearish 50-DMA, now at 0.7272.

Further up, the confluence of the channel hurdle and 100-DMA at 0.7292 will come into play once again.

The 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned flat while holding above the midline, suggesting that the bullish bias remains well in the books. Although it may not be a smooth ride for AUD bulls.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

On the flip side, Thursday’s low of 0.7195 is the level to beat for AUD bears, below which the additional downside will open up towards the 21-DMA at 0.7149.

Selling resurgence could put the channel support of 0.7130 at risk. A sustained break below the latter will confirm a downside breakout from the rising channel, fuelling a fresh downswing towards 0.7100.

AUD/USD: Additional levels to consider

 

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AUD/USD to reach 0.7800-0.8000 by Q4 2022 – CBA

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