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Forex: EUR/JPY spikes down to 128.83 on German IFO

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The EUR/JPY tumbled on the release of a disappointing German IFO survey, falling below the 129.00 handle and reaching as low as 128.83 in a spike movement. The cross is back above 129.00, as of writing.

On the EUR front, the German IFO survey came in lower than expected for the April report: drop from 106.7 to 104.4 in business climate (consensus of 106.2), fall from 109.9 to 107.2 in current assessment (consensus of 109.5) and drop from 103.6 to 101.6 in expectations (consensus of 103.0). Italy retail sales are also out, contracting by -0.2% in March instead of rising 0.4% as expected, with annualized data falling further from -2.8% to -4.8%.

On the JPY front, Sumitomo Life said that is planning to take a flexible stance in foreign bond investment and expects the EUR/JPY to trade between 108.00 and 145.00 in 2013/2014. Japan corporate service price fell -0.2% in March.

Mataf.net analysts point to resistance at 129.70, 130.10 and 130.65. On the downside, supports might be found at 128.85, 128.25 and 127.90.

Forex Flash: The Federal Reserve meets in a week's time with QE exit talk on lips - BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman analysts note that the Fed meets in a weeks time and the minutes of recent meetings show that some members are still talking about a gradual exit from QE later this year.
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Commodities Brief – Silver tests 23.00 level, crude oil moves towards 90.00 on OPEC concerns

The price of gold mounted an early advance during European trading, however the USD firmness, and equity strength continued to cap any movement higher. Indeed, the yellow metal has surrendered some of its gains in recent minutes after peaking at the 1430 level. In these moments the price of gold is trading at USD $1423.70 per oz. Gold maintains the structure of the bullish correctional wave, as price rebounded and attempting to settle above 1428.00 resistance, invalidating a previous bearish outlook. Patience in the retest of the 1428 level could lend credence to a rise higher.
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