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Oil back to bearish - BBH

Analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman noted that the price of oil surrendered gains initially fueled by an agreement led by Saudi Arabia and Russia to freeze output, provided others would.

Key Quotes:


"However, the gesture was quickly understood to be hollow.

The Iranians cannot agree to it. Otherwise, they would have suspended their nuclear ambitions for naught.

Moreover, data suggests that both Saudi Arabia and Russia boosted their output in January. Many other oil producers (outside of Iran) have little spare capacity.

The price of oil closed slightly lower on the week.

The April Brent and light crude futures contracts finished on a weak note. The technical indicators are mixed.

Our bias is on the downside.

The low for the April light crude contract was set near $28.75 in both late-January and early-February. This area may be retested.

However, if the low is double-bottom, the April contract needs to rise above $35.00-$36.50 area."

Bearish on NZ swap rates - Westpac

Imre Speizer, analyst at Westpac explained that NZ swap rates have scope to fall further, despite the impressive 40bp decline in the 2yr since late Dec.
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UK's Boris Johnson backs up Brexit, sends Pound sharply lower

Following news from the weekend that UK Prime Minister David Cameron reached a deal with Europe, in the last few hours news broke out that UK politician and Mayor of London Boris Johnson will campaign for Britain to exit the European Union. The British Pound has collapsed more than 100 pips after Boris' announcement.
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