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China: Initial impact of CNY devaluation shock, reversing - MUFG

FXStreet (Delhi) – Lee Hardman, Currency Analyst at MUFG, notes that the main trend in the foreign exchange market heading into today’s FOMC meeting is the ongoing reversal of the initial impact from the renminbi devaluation shock.

Key Quotes

“The onshore renminbi is continuing to gradually rebound having reversed around a third of the decline recorded on the 11th and 12th August. The South Korean won and Singapore dollar have rebounded even more impressively from their recent lows with the won having staged almost a full recovery.”

“However, the reversal in Asian currencies has on average lagged other groups of currencies. The Indonesian rupiah, Vietnam dong and Indian rupee all remain close to their recent lows.”

“Latin American currencies and EMEA currencies have on average reversed around half of their initial adjustments against the US dollar following the renminbi devaluation.”

“The Chilean peso, Colombian peso and Russian rouble have staged the largest reversals supported by the rebound in the price of copper and crude oil. In contrast, the reversals for the Brazilian real and Turkish lira are lagging as they remain close to recent lows.”

UK: Retail sales mark first increase in 3-months – TDS

Research Team at TD Securities, note that the UK retail sales for August increased 0.2% m/m (as consensus expected), marking the first increase in the number in 3 months.
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USDCAD: Stimulating the Risks for the Fed policy day - TDS

Research Team at TDS, note that the FX markets are in a state of paralysis today, ahead of the all-important Fed’s policy and the USDCAD broke through the 1.32 figure yesterday as crude oil prices rallied hard yesterday. But despite falling under pressure and below the pennant formation since early August, funds remained contained within the recent range and held around the 1.3170 level (current FV is closer to 1.2960).
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