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Flash: Time for another leg up in USD/JPY - RBS

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - According to Greg Gibbs, FX Strategist at RBS, this is the time that the BoJ policy should produce further weakness in JPY once again, as easing policies are not expected to be removed for at least two years - may even be enhanced -, putting downside pressure on Japanese yields while other global bond markets are behaving inversely, Gibbs said.

Key Quotes

"Emerging market equities and currencies are in recovery mode, at least for the time being, supported by stronger growth prospects in the major economies and recovering indicators in China."

"With low real yields in Japan, and improving global risk appetite, the market should be looking increasingly to JPY as a funding currency. And Japanese investors should be seeing improved investment opportunities abroad."

China's economic indicators keep beating expectations

China's Industrial Production (YoY) for the month of August came at 10.4% vs 9.9% exp and 9.7% in July, with Retail Sales (YoY) (Aug) showing a 13.4% vs 13.2% exp and 13.2% prior. Meanwhile, China's Urban investment (YTD) (YoY) (Aug) printed 20.3% vs 20.2% exp and 20.1% last.
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Will lack of data flow Tuesday allow “risk-on” trade to continue unabated?

Strategists are citing the old saying that an object in motion will remain in motion – in this case the object is the general “risk-on” trade that has been in place since about 8/8.
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