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Greek bank default risks ahead after ECB’s decision to curb liquidity – KBC

FXStreet (Barcelona) - According to KBC Bank, ECB’s decision to stop liquidity assistance to Greek banks increases the risk of a bank default and a possible Grexit.

Key Quotes

“Greek banks lost access to ECB liquidity and are now dependent on ELA-funding (Emergency Lending Assistance) with the Greek National Central Bank. It means the price of the liquidity is now 1.55% instead of 0.05%.”

“The ECB allowed a continuation of ELA, but that decision will be reviewed at the next council meeting (Feb 18).”

“Scrapping ELA would effectively lead to a default of the Greek banking system.”

“We consider the ECB decision as a first warning shot for the new Greek government that it needs to abide by EU rules. It raises the need to come to an agreement with Europe.”

“We suspect/fear that deposit outflow will now accelerate, which raises risks of a Greek bank default and a possible Grexit.”

“Pressure on Greece increases to reach a deal with Europe. Uncertainty and volatility in markets will remain high.”

Silver declines 0.64%

Silver prices fell, breaking away from the gains seen in Gold prices, after having failed to sustain gains above the 10-DMA.
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GBP/USD jumps to fresh highs at 1.5233, BOE eyed

GBP/USD rallied above 1.5200 levels in the mid-European session, extending gains for the third straight session on better than forecasts UK Halifax House Price Index, while markets eye the Bank of England (BOE) meeting due later in the session.
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