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Forex Today: Markets stabilize as trading volume thins out on Easter Friday

Here is what you need to know on Friday, April 18:

Major currency pairs stay quiet on Friday as trading volumes thin out, with major markets remaining closed in observance of the Easter Holiday. The economic calendar will not offer any high-tier data releases, paving the way for subdued market action heading into the weekend.

US Dollar PRICE This month

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this month. US Dollar was the weakest against the Swiss Franc.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -4.95% -2.70% -5.05% -3.80% -2.07% -4.94% -7.45%
EUR 4.95% 2.39% -0.16% 1.15% 2.82% -0.05% -2.68%
GBP 2.70% -2.39% -2.49% -1.22% 0.41% -2.39% -4.96%
JPY 5.05% 0.16% 2.49% 1.32% 3.17% 0.77% -2.54%
CAD 3.80% -1.15% 1.22% -1.32% 1.71% -1.18% -3.79%
AUD 2.07% -2.82% -0.41% -3.17% -1.71% -2.79% -5.35%
NZD 4.94% 0.05% 2.39% -0.77% 1.18% 2.79% -2.64%
CHF 7.45% 2.68% 4.96% 2.54% 3.79% 5.35% 2.64%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

The European Central Bank (ECB) announced on Thursday that it lowered key rates by 25 basis points (bps) following the April policy meeting, as widely anticipated. In the post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde refrained from hinting at the next policy move but acknowledged that the Eurozone's economic outlook is clouded by uncertainty. EUR/USD edged lower following the ECB event and ended the day in negative territory. Early Friday, the pair fluctuates in a tight channel above 1.1350.

The data from the US showed on Thursday that weekly Initial Jobless Claims declined to 215,000 from 224,000 in the previous week. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said on Thursday that China has reached out to his administration to talk on tariffs and added that he think they will make a deal with China. The US Dollar (USD) Index closed marginally higher and stabilized at around 99.50 early Friday.

After gaining more than 3% on Wednesday, Gold continued to push higher in the Asian session on Thursday and reached a new record-high of $3,357. In the second half of the day, XAU/USD corrected lower, possibly because of profit-taking, and settled at $3,327 for the week.

GBP/USD closed in positive territory on Thursday and stretched higher toward 1.3280 before entering a consolidation phase.

USD/JPY trades in a narrow band below 142.50 on Friday and remains on track to post losses for the third consecutive week. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda repeated on Friday that they will keep raising interest rates if underlying inflation accelerates toward the 2% target.

Tariffs FAQs

Tariffs are customs duties levied on certain merchandise imports or a category of products. Tariffs are designed to help local producers and manufacturers be more competitive in the market by providing a price advantage over similar goods that can be imported. Tariffs are widely used as tools of protectionism, along with trade barriers and import quotas.

Although tariffs and taxes both generate government revenue to fund public goods and services, they have several distinctions. Tariffs are prepaid at the port of entry, while taxes are paid at the time of purchase. Taxes are imposed on individual taxpayers and businesses, while tariffs are paid by importers.

There are two schools of thought among economists regarding the usage of tariffs. While some argue that tariffs are necessary to protect domestic industries and address trade imbalances, others see them as a harmful tool that could potentially drive prices higher over the long term and lead to a damaging trade war by encouraging tit-for-tat tariffs.

During the run-up to the presidential election in November 2024, Donald Trump made it clear that he intends to use tariffs to support the US economy and American producers. In 2024, Mexico, China and Canada accounted for 42% of total US imports. In this period, Mexico stood out as the top exporter with $466.6 billion, according to the US Census Bureau. Hence, Trump wants to focus on these three nations when imposing tariffs. He also plans to use the revenue generated through tariffs to lower personal income taxes.

US Dollar Index hovers near 99.50 as trading activity remains muted due to Good Friday

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar (USD) against a basket of six major currencies, is remaining below 99.50 during the early European hours on Friday. The Greenback remains subdued amid growing concerns over the economic impact of tariffs on the United States (US).
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AUD/JPY trades below 91.00 as Japan’s core inflation rises in March

AUD/JPY retraces its recent gains from the previous session, trading around 90.80 during the European hours on Friday. The currency cross remains under pressure as the Australian Dollar (AUD) weakens in light trading, with local markets closed for the Good Friday holiday.
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