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EUR/USD: Big rally expected in the second half of the year – ING

Economists at ING expect the EUR/USD pair to trend higher throughout the second half of 2024.

The Fed is the single most important driver of EUR/USD

The Fed is, and should remain, the single most important driver of EUR/USD: our call is they will cut more than markets expect and crucially around 50 bps more than the ECB. 

Given that we also see both central banks starting to ease in June, we expect a bigger rally in EUR/USD in the second half of the year, when USD:EUR short-term rate convergence should accelerate. We target 1.1400 in 4Q24.

Rising geopolitical tensions, upward pressure on energy prices and a potential re-election of Donald Trump could all lead to a stronger Dollar.

 

EUR/GBP trims gains after British inflation data, BoE decision looms

The EUR/GBP is currently experiencing mild gains, trading at 0.8541 after peaking at a high of 0.8560.
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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Breaks out of bottom of range and tumbles

NZD/USD has broken out of the bottom of a long-term range and despite reaching oversold extremes is tipped to go even lower.
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