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EUR/SEK seen moving back to 10.80 on a 12-month view – Rabobank

The Swedish Krona (SEK) has given back some of the ground it won vs. the Euro (EUR) in the final two months of last year. Economists at Rabobank analyze EUR/SEK outlook.

EUR/SEK to trend lower towards 11.00 on a 3-to-6-month view

A cautious outlook on rates from the Riksbank combined with a dash of optimism that the domestic economic outlook should improve later this year suggests scope for the SEK to regain its footing and for EUR/SEK to trend lower towards 11.00 on a 3-to-6-month view.

Despite the SEK’s improved tone late last year, EUR/SEK remains well above its 5-year average. A weak currency will add to inflation risks. However, it can also generate growth through the export channel; signs of this may now be emerging. We would expect EUR/SEK to continue its normalisation this year and move back to 10.80 on a 12-month view.

 

German GfK Consumer Confidence declines to -29.7 in February vs. -24.5 expected

Consumer sentiment in Germany is expected to continue to weaken in February, with the GfK Consumer Confidence Index dropping to -29.7 from -25.4 in January.
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Forex Today: US Dollar edges higher as markets turn cautious ahead of US inflation data

Here is what you need to know on January, January 26: The US Dollar (USD) stays resilient against its major rivals early Friday, supported by the negative shift seen in risk mood.
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