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USD Index: Downside risks should be limited unless 10-year UST yields drop below 4.50% – SocGen

Dollar resumes rally on Middle East crisis. Economists at Société Générale analyze USD outlook.

Dollar set to remain supported this week

Suspense around another Fed hike or pause in November, and geopolitics in the Middle East should keep the Dollar supported this week. 

Profit-taking could emerge if US retail sales on Tuesday and/or housing construction on Wednesday disappoint and tilt the balance towards a Fed hold. 

Downside risks should be limited unless 10y US Treasury yields drop below 4.50% and Oil prices retreat.

 

BoC Survey: Consumers think interest rates will go up over next 12 months

The Bank of Canada noted in its Business Outlook Survey for the third quarter on Monday that consumers thought that interest rates will go up over the
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EUR/USD: Target reduced from 1.15 to 1.12 – Commerzbank

Between mid-July and early October, the US Dollar gained more than 7% against the average of the G10 currencies. Commerzbank’s forecast table contains
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