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Forex: EUR/JPY at 125.50/126.00

The EUR/JPY eventually failed to hold above the 126.00 mark and eased further to 125.50 ahead of the NY session. Since then, the market has been ranging at 125.50/126.00, with no breach in sight yet. In the meanwhile, Factory Orders in the US was published.

In December, factory orders rose 1.8% in the US, disappointing the consensus of a rise by 2.2%. November data was revised lower, from unchanged to -0.3%. Little in the economic calendar is expected to move the market today, but BoE and ECB policy meetings are this week and investors are positioning themselves for those events.

The EUR/USD was seen soaring into 33 month highs above its interim target of the 123.00/33 (2011 high and 38.2% retracement of the move down from 2008). “This break has introduced scope to the next resistance at 127.93 the April 2010 high”, wrote analyst Karen Jones, pointing to the 240 minute cloud at 119.96/121.10 to support consolidative movements.

Forex: EUR/US hovering over 1.3565/70 after US data

The single currency posted no reaction after the US Factory Orders grew 1.8% on a monthly basis during December, beating November’s flat print although below the 2.2% expansion forecasted....
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WTI trading at $96.64/bbl

Crude oil’s near-term consolidative range at the 96.50 zone (50% of 94.95/98.22 upleg) was threatened as the negative near-term structure drives the price lower. According to Slobodan Drvenica, an analyst at Windsor Brokers Ltd., “The upside remains capped at 90.30/50 area, where the 30 January high, along with 23 August 2012 high and Fib 61.8% expansion of the wave from 84.05 lie.”
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